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NEPHROS INC (NEPH)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 2025 delivered net revenue of $4.4M (+36% YoY), gross margin of 63% (+400 bps YoY), and the company’s third consecutive profitable quarter, supported by programmatic reorders and new active sites .
  • Results were a clear beat vs Wall Street: revenue $4.42M vs $3.60M consensus and EPS $0.02 vs -$0.03 consensus; two estimates were tracked, indicating limited coverage but a meaningful surprise. Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
  • Sequentially, revenue moderated from a record Q1 ($4.88M) to $4.42M in Q2, but profitability and cash generation remained intact; cash grew to $5.1M and NEPH remains debt-free .
  • Management cited all-time highs in programmatic sales and active-site counts, the largest dialysis filtration PO in company history, and strong retention; sales capacity expansion into non-healthcare verticals is an ongoing constraint and opportunity .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Programmatic sales reached an all-time high; trailing-12-month revenue climbed from $13.8M to $16.7M, underpinning durable demand and recurring revenue momentum .
  • Gross margin expanded to 63% (vs. 59% LY), driven primarily by reduced shipping costs and inventory reserve adjustments; adjusted EBITDA turned positive to $355K (vs. -$133K LY) .
  • Customer metrics and commercial traction strengthened: “active-site counts reached all-time highs across infection control, dialysis water, and commercial” and the dialysis water segment delivered its second-highest performance on record .

What Went Wrong

  • Sequential top-line deceleration from Q1’s record ($4.88M) to Q2 ($4.42M) reflects normalization after emergency response strength and pre-ordering ahead of a small price increase in February .
  • SG&A rose 13% YoY to ~$2.2M on higher commissions, bonus accruals, and stock comp, highlighting investment intensity during growth scaling .
  • Sales coverage remains a limiting factor: “We don’t have the salesforce we need in every place… we’ve been strategic… and will have to keep expanding” (Robert Banks) .

Financial Results

Income Statement Trend (oldest → newest)

MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$3.870 $4.877 $4.419
Gross Margin %64% 65% 63%
Operating Income ($USD Millions)$0.317 $0.566 $0.248
Net Income ($USD Millions)$0.349 $0.558 $0.237
Diluted EPS ($USD)$0.03 $0.05 $0.02
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$0.466 $0.667 $0.355

Operating Expense Detail (oldest → newest)

MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
SG&A ($USD Millions)$1.872 $2.254 $2.201
R&D ($USD Millions)$0.252 $0.295 $0.311
D&A ($USD Millions)$0.034 $0.039 $0.035

Balance Sheet and Cash KPIs

MetricDec 31, 2024Mar 31, 2025Jun 30, 2025
Cash & Equivalents ($USD Millions)$3.760 $4.081 $5.074
Total Assets ($USD Millions)$11.210 $11.778 $12.243
Total Liabilities ($USD Millions)$2.625 $2.487 $2.644
Stockholders’ Equity ($USD Millions)$8.585 $9.291 $9.599

KPIs and Commercial Metrics

KPIQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Programmatic Revenue Growth YoYDouble-digit YoY in Q4 +23% YoY +31% YoY
Active Customer SitesRecord high ~1,600 Over 1,600
Dialysis Water SegmentPeak performance noted Second-highest performance on record; largest dialysis filtration PO in company history
Trailing-12-Month Revenue ($USD Millions)$16.7
Cash From Operations (quarter)Net cash provided by operating activities $0.994M

Q2 2025 vs Wall Street Consensus (S&P Global)

MetricActualConsensus Mean# of EstimatesSurprise
Revenue ($USD)$4,419,000 $3,601,000*2*+$818,000 (Beat)*
Primary EPS ($USD)$0.02 -$0.03*2*+$0.05 (Beat)*

Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueFY/QuarterNone providedNone providedMaintained (no formal guidance)
Gross MarginFY/QuarterNone providedNone providedMaintained (no formal guidance)
OpEx / SG&AFY/QuarterNone providedNone providedMaintained (no formal guidance)
Tax Rate, OI&E, DividendsFY/QuarterNone providedNone providedMaintained (no formal guidance)

Management reiterated confidence and strategic focus but did not provide numeric guidance ranges in Q2 materials .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2024 and Q1 2025)Current Period (Q2 2025)Trend
Programmatic Business & ReordersCore programmatic revenue steadily increased in 2024; emergency response declined H1 2024, recovered in Q4 . Q1 saw all-time highs in programmatic and emergency, some pre-ordering ahead of a small price increase .Programmatic sales reached all-time high; highest retention rate in past six quarters; app adoption improving compliance .Strengthening, recurring model gaining traction .
Dialysis Water SegmentNoted strength with product expansion (20" HydraGuard) targeting sterile processing and labs (linked to ST108 standard) .Second-highest performance on record; largest dialysis filtration PO ever .Accelerating contribution .
Technology/App AdoptionQ1: hundreds of filter locations logged in the support app .“Growing customer adoption of our filter tracking app… thousands of filters now being tracked” .Expanding usage improves reorder visibility .
Sales Coverage & New VerticalsQ4: expansion to office/transportation; Q1: macro tariff uncertainty noted .Pursuing dental, government, municipal; salesforce capacity a bottleneck, expanding with junior associates .Broader reach but needs more feet-on-the-ground .
Gross Margin DriversQ1: price increase and mix, lower reserves .Q2: lower shipping costs and inventory reserve adjustments .Sustainably improved cost structure .
Macro/RegulatoryQ1: emergency activity may normalize; tariff activity creates uncertainties .Continued focus on infection control demand; no new macro headwinds highlighted .Neutral-to-supportive backdrop .

Management Commentary

  • “Programmatic sales reached an all-time high in Q2… active-site counts reached all-time highs across infection control, dialysis water, and commercial segments.” (Robert Banks) .
  • “We now serve over 1,500 active customer sites and… Q2 brought in the highest retention rate of the past six quarters.” (Robert Banks) .
  • “Gross margin for the second quarter of 2025 was 63%, compared with 59% in the second quarter of 2024… driven by a reduction in shipping costs and inventory reserve adjustments.” (CFO commentary embedded in release) .
  • “Net cash provided by operating activities was $994,000… reflecting positive net income, a decrease in accounts receivable and an increase in accrued expenses.” (Judy Krandel) .

Q&A Highlights

  • Growth drivers: App visibility, service implementation, and closer sales engagement collectively improved reorder rates; management emphasized sustainable, intentional growth and customer peace-of-mind in infection control .
  • Sales capacity: “We don’t have the salesforce we need in every place… we will have to keep expanding it” — expanding coverage with junior associates while seasoned reps pursue new business .
  • Vertical expansion: Entering dental, government, municipal; education and speaking engagements/social channels boosting awareness and pipeline beyond healthcare .
  • Trajectory: Management confident in continuing momentum into 2H with operational discipline and profitability focus .

Estimates Context

  • Q2 2025 beat consensus on both revenue and EPS: $4.42M vs $3.60M and $0.02 vs -$0.03, with two estimates contributing to consensus. Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
  • Given sustained gross margin improvement and recurring programmatic momentum, Street models likely need to raise near-term revenue and EPS, and reflect structurally higher margins (shipping cost and reserve tailwinds, plus mix) .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Strong beat and third straight profitable quarter underscore a turning point in fundamentals; margin drivers appear durable and cash generation improved materially .
  • Recurring programmatic engine is scaling with app-enabled compliance and service; this should support visibility and reduce volatility vs emergency response cycles .
  • Dialysis water is emerging as a growth pillar (record PO, near-record performance), aided by product innovation like the 20" HydraGuard and use-cases in sterile processing/labs .
  • Capacity is the constraint: expanding salesforce and entering new verticals should unlock incremental growth; monitor hiring pace and coverage expansion as near-term catalysts .
  • Sequential revenue dip from Q1’s record looks like normalization post emergency activity and pre-ordering; profitability and cash build suggest resilience into 2H .
  • With limited Street coverage, upside surprises can be meaningful; expect consensus revisions upward on revenue, EPS, and margin assumptions following Q2 .
  • Risk watch: tariff/macro and emergency-response variability remain external factors; however, recurring programmatic demand and high retention mitigate these risks .